| Poker
Strategy - Tournaments Overview
Tournament poker is
one of the world's hottest fads. While poker
has been consistently played for over 100
years, the tournament circuit is still a
relatively new thing. In 1972, the grand
prize at the World Series of Poker (a $10k
buy in) was only $80,000. In 2003, Chris
Moneymaker took home a cool $2.5 million.
The reason for this drastic increase in
prize money is the number of players that
have entered tournaments. In 1972, only
8 players entered the world series of poker,
while 839 entered in 2003.
I am not a fan of tournament
poker. Television has made tournament poker
look glamorous- a competition where skill
prevails. However, the truth of the matter
is that luck plays a much larger factor
in tournaments than ring games. Think about
it this way: if you started with $2000,
what is the chance that you would end up
with $2 million dollars before the night
was over at a regular no-limit game? Zero.
However, to win a tournament where each
player has 2k starting chips and 1000 people
enter, you would need to win two million
in chips to win the tournament. Not an easy
feat to do unless lady luck truly smiled
upon you that day!
In short, the reasons
I prefer to make money at ring games rather
than tournaments is:
- I can consistently
win at a ring game, whereas a tournament
is feast or famine.
- Luck plays a much
smaller role in having a winning session
at a ring game than at a tournament.
- It is much easier
to tell if you are a good ring game player
than a good tournament player. Since the
best tournament player can easily go ten
sessions winning nothing, it is very difficult
to tell if you are 'doing the right thing.'
Nevertheless, I play
tournaments because they are fun and because
I hope to make some money at them. Winning
at tournaments still requires sound poker
strategy, but emphasizes several factors
more so than ring games:
- Your chips have a
different relative value. In a standard
poker game, you should view each dollar
as having equal value. This is not the
case in a tournament. When you start off
with an initial thousand in chips, which
thousand are worth a lot more than the
next thousand you make. Since you cannot
buy back in, you always need to have chips
in order to survive. At the beginning
of the tournament, you should be more
reticent to go all in because even if
you win you are not in much better of
a position. However, later in the tournament
you must gamble or else you risk just
losing by being blinded away.
- Domination plays
a much bigger factor. Later in the tournament,
the blinds will be so high that most players
in contested hands will be all-in preflop.
Thus, you want hands that dominate other
hands. High pocket pairs are good because
they dominate lower pocket pairs, and
ace with a good kicker is a good hand
because it dominates many other hands.
Many players make the mistake of betting
very hard with a low pocket pair such
as 55. In truth, these low pockets are
only good for stealing blinds. If someone
calls you, you are at best a 50-50, while
you are a 4.5:1 underdog if they have
a higher pocket pair.
Poker Strategy - Single-Table
NL Tournaments
This section is on how
to win the single table NL tournaments,
which are very popular at Global Sports
Network. The buy ins range from $5 to $100,
so play whatever you can bank.
The goal is place 1st
20% of the time and 2nd, or 3rd 40% of the
time. This yields a profit of about the
entry buy-in over the long run. So if you
play a 10-dollar buy in, you can expect
to make $10 dollars every time you play
if you achieve the goal.
The way I'll write this
strategy guide is by the blind size. Note:
The overall strategy is to get ahead quick
and stay ahead, or to not die and then quickly
come back later. In other words, you'll
become the boss of the table throughout
the game if you get good cards and get lucky
early, or you'll be hanging in there until
the late rounds when you make a big move.
Blinds
10-15, 10-20- regular
games, aim to trap a big hand if possible
and double up. Don't be afraid to call or
go to the flop with a marginal hand that
has high-implied odds. So, in an unraised
pot, I'll go in with 78 suited, b/c I know
if I hit the hand well, I can get paid off
quite nicely.
15-30, 25-50- Tight
aggressive play when possible, aim to win
a big pot but avoid putting yourself all
in or seriously depleting your stack. In
layman's terms, play only good hands (the
top tier) but don't be afraid to play them
strongly.
50-100, 100-200- You're
in three possible situations after the first
30 hands and into these blinds.
- You're short stacked-
can only afford about 4 big blinds at
the level, and those big blinds are just
going to get more expensive. Go all in
with A and a high card, or any pair preflop
(provided another person hasn't bet for
a lot already). You want enough chips
to survive and get into at least third
place.
- Large stacked; you
won a big hand in those first 30. Don't
let people double through though- try
to continue to increase slowly, avoid
a big confrontation unless you clearly
have the best of it. Steal the blinds
a lot when you have a decent hand- just
put in the minimal raise. Your goal is
to win, not to place.
- Very short- like
almost out. You got to fight and fight
quick. Take a couple long shots, go all
in with KQ if you have it, etc. There's
nothing worse than being blinded to death.
If you're big blind and can only afford
one to two more big blinds, go all in
no matter what (so if you paid the big
blind of 50 and have about 75 in reserve,
go all in no matter what).
Poker Strategy - Multi-Table
NL Tournaments
About No-Limit Tournaments
The popularity of No-Limit
hold'em tournaments is booming. Fueled by
the WSOP (World Series of Poker) and the
World Poker Tour, many people are intrigued
by these competitions and enter for a chance
to win a 'big score.' In fact, most No-Limit
hold'em is played in tournament form nowadays
(which upsets someone like me whose favorite
poker game is a No-Limit hold'em ring game).
While No-Limit hold'em
ring games offer the lowest variation for
a consistent winner (I probably win 80-90%
of the times I enter a No-Limit ring games),
No-Limit hold'em tournaments have crazy
variance. This is because all the money
gets shoved in preflop on near coin flip
odds at the end of the tournament. For example,
AK versus a pocket pair is a very, very
common battle late in a No-Limit tournament.
I'm not saying you shouldn't
play No-Limit tournaments, but please don't
think that these tournaments are all skill
and no luck. The famous quote from Rounders,
"The same five guys make it to the
final table every year at the WSOP"
is the opposite of the truth. You MUST be
lucky to win a No-Limit tournament because
you must win more than your fair share of
coin flip battles.
Strategy
That's enough preaching
about No-Limit tournaments. In terms of
strategy, No-Limit tournaments are very
different from No-Limit ring games. You
simply can't bluff as much because people's
stacks tend to be smaller in relation to
the size of the pot. Also, since the amount
of chips you win from a bluff is worth less
than the amount you stand to lose, bluffing
loses a lot of 'value.'
Now, many of you may
be confused. Suppose you bluff 1000 chips
at a 1000 pot and figure you have a 50-60%
chance of taking it down. Many of you would
think it's worth it to take that risk. However,
those 1000 chips you win are worth less
than those 1000 chips you stand to lose.
If you have a 2000 stack, getting knocked
down to 1000 has much more negative value
than the positive value of getting up to
3000. The 1000 chips do not represent money.
The only monetary value in the tournament
is either losing all of your chips or winning
them all (and losing them all is more important
because you do get a prize if you lose them
all in the late stages of the tournament).
Losing those 1000 chips knocks you half
the way out, but winning those 1000 doesn't
do squat for winning.
This is not to imply
that you can simply fold your way into the
money. The blinds will eat you alive. You
must win pots so you don't get knocked out
most of the time. Towards the end of the
tournament, you can think of winning pots
to win the whole tournament. However, most
of the time you must win pots simply so
you don't lose!
Thus, in the early stages
of the tournament, you should avoid gambling
much. Generally, the amount you win isn't
worth the gamble. If you can see the flop
for cheap with a suited connector or someone
goes all in preflop and you have AA, by
all means go for it. However, I wouldn't
suggest bluffing all in as a wise move.
In the early stages, you want to win a huge
pot here and there because you hold the
nuts. Target a bad player and make him pay
you off.
Towards the middle of
the tournament, you need to switch gears.
Since the blinds get bigger, stealing the
blinds will help you stay alive. Here, the
'gap' concept becomes more important. It
takes a much weaker hand than usual to raise
to steal the blind, but a stronger hand
than usual to call a raise. The middle rounds
introduce the 'survival mode' concept.
Again, most of the time
you will be looking just to survive and
increase your stack bit by bit in the middle
rounds. You want to avoid confrontation
without the nuts and just take down some
small pots without controversy.
However, if you are
a large chip stack (or even just a medium
one), you may want to take advantage of
this survival mode. Take control of the
game by raising and frequently putting other
people at a decision for all of their chips.
After all, if they go all in, they're risking
it all but you aren't because you can lose
the pot and still keep on fighting. However,
don't do this too much. Steal some pots,
but don't be so obvious that people will
call you all in with top or even second
pair. Also, don't do this against very bad
players. They will call everything.
Towards the end of the
tournament is when the coin flip decisions
become very important. Frequently, the blinds
are so high it makes sense for a player
with a low or moderate stack to go all in
preflop. Generally, when you go all in you
want to have A (good kicker) or a pocket
pair. If you have A(good kicker) you are
an advantage to all non pocket pairs and
may even have someone dominated. If you
have a pocket pair, you are a small advantage
against all non-pocket pairs and at a huge
advantage/disadvantage against other pocket
pairs (depending on their size).
Generally, if you have
one of these marginal hands, it's best to
just shove all of your chips in preflop.
When you are a low stack, you cannot afford
to be blinded away anymore. Once the flop
comes, chances are it's not going to be
perfect. By shoving in all of your chips
preflop, you have the added chance of stealing
the blinds and can avoid being bluffed out.
Multi-table Limit Tournaments
I'm not a huge fan of
multi-table limit tournaments; I personally
think there is too much luck involved. To
succeed at these tournaments requires a
slight change in strategy from your usual
limit game.
The most fundamental
change to your game play involves the 'gap'
concept. Mid-way and later through limit
tournaments, you must change your style
of play from simply trying to get the best
of it (winning money in the long run) to
just winning pots. Instead of pot odds being
your guiding force, you just want to straight
up win the pots you play. Since the blinds
are so large, you do not want much competition,
as a simple blind steal will help your position
tremendously.
You should begin playing
hands that will just likely win. Flush draws
and straight draws lose a tremendous amount
in value and high and mid pocket pair’s
soar. AK and AQ also go up in value because
they have most other hands dominated (e.g.
AK versus A10 or AQ versus KQ). Late in
limit tournaments, you want to avoid heavy
conflicts with dominated hands (i.e. you
don't want to have AJ against his AK even
though he will pay off nicely if AJ is on
board).
In order to conform
to this strategy, you must do two things.
First, if the mood is tight, you should
be more willing to go in on marginal hands
just in order to steal the blinds. Always,
always raise preflop with these hands. If
you are two off the button with A9, you
should consider raising to steal the blinds.
However, the second change you should make
is to avoid conflict. If someone has already
raised, you certainly should chunk that
A9 if you are one off the button. The underlying
concept here again is dominating hands-
you want your opponents to fold because
they are afraid they are dominated and you
want to fold if you may be dominated. If
you raise with A9, someone with A10 certainly
will consider folding because they are afraid
you have AJ,AQ, or AK and thus have them
dominated.
Now, what if you are
dealt a premium hand like KK and someone
has raised? There’s no way you can chunk
this hand preflop; what are the chances
he has AA? In this situation, you should
reraise to knock people out. Raising and
lots of reraising is the key; you want to
send the opposition the message that you
are challenging him for all of his chips
if he plays against you in this hand. When
you are dealt a big gun like KK, you want
to make your stand.
Obviously throughout
all of this, you should take into consideration
the strength of your opponents. Good players
understand the 'gap' concept and will fold
if they have borderline hands like A10.
However, bad players will simply call. Bad
players play their hand; good players play
their hand relative to other people's hands.
If you see the flop with a bad player, he
will most likely fold if you bet and he
has not hit and will call you to the river
if he has. A good player knows that if he
has A10 and there is an ace on the flop,
he may be finished because of kicker. A
bad player is just happy he has top pair.
Money Management:
Poker Strategy - Moving
Up/Down Limits
Choosing which limit
to play is a critical element when playing
poker. Generally, you should choose which
limit to play based on your financial situation,
your poker ability, and your aversion to
risk.
No matter how wealthy
you are, it is often best to start out at
the lower limits simply because the competition
there is easier. Few 'professionals' play
at the $1-2 games, so it is a relatively
safe place to begin one's poker career.
Even if you are a billionaire, no one will
know it when you play on the Internet and
think any less of you for playing at a low
limit.
When choosing a limit,
the major choices come when one decides
to move up a limit or down a limit. Generally,
you should only move up a limit if you think
you are comfortable playing at that limit
for seven sessions or more. Do not choose
a limit so high that it makes you scared
to play. Playing scared is a guaranteed
recipe for losing. It is also not wise to
'go for it' at a higher limit. If you are
making a run for it at a higher limit, you
probably do not have the bankroll to survive
there for long. Even if you win on two straight
sessions, you will likely bust out and have
to move down if you are not bankrolled enough
at any given limit.
If you take a hit at
a higher limit, you should generally move
down. However, you shouldn't move down so
far that you are totally unmotivated to
play. If you move up to $25-50 from $10-20,
you shouldn't fall back to $1-2 once you
decide that $25-50 is too high. While people
tend to play too scared at a higher limit,
they also tend to play too loose at a lower
limit. Play a limit that motivates you to
play, but also at which that you are not
scared to play.
Poker Strategy - Quitting
for the Day
Even if you are the
best poker player in the world, you will
have some losing days. Knowing when to just
call it quits for the session will do you
a world of good for your bankroll. If you
play limit poker, it is wise to quit if
you have a swing of 40 big bets or more
either way. Forty big bets at limit is a
lot (especially longhand), so having swings
more than this may drive you insane. The
only reason to break the 40-big-bet rule
is if the game you are in is really good.
Fundamentally though,
you should quit because you are tilting,
you have played a lot already and risk being
tired, or you just have other things to
do.
Here are some signs
that you may be tilting:
- You always think
your opponents are bluffing
- You really want to
break even for the day
- You want to get back
into the action as soon as possible
Here are some signs
that you may have just played too much poker:
- You are falling asleep
at the table
- You have played more
than ten hours for the day (never play
more than ten hours at any one time. It
is better to play many short or medium
sessions than a few long ones).
- You find it harder
to pay attention to your opponent.
|